Difference between revisions of "Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon"
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==Scope== | ==Scope== | ||
| − | '''Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon''' describes | + | '''Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon''' describes the health risks of persistent pollutants found in the farmed salmon consumed in the Western Europe (EU-15, Norway, Iceland, and Switzerland). The risk is measured as avoided premature deaths per year (this leads to negative numbers for increased risks). |
==Definition== | ==Definition== | ||
| Line 10: | Line 10: | ||
===Data=== | ===Data=== | ||
| − | + | * The plausible range is -10000 - 0 avoided cases per year (author judgement). | |
| + | * Pollutant health risk is calculated assuming additivity between the pollutants. | ||
| + | * Dioxin risks are not considered because they were not considered in Hites' paper<ref>R. A. Hites et al. Global assessment of organic contaminants in farmed salmon. Science, 9 Jan. 2004, p. 226</ref>. | ||
===Causality=== | ===Causality=== | ||
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* [[Variable:Exposure to persistent pollutants due to salmon in the population of the Western Europe]] | * [[Variable:Exposure to persistent pollutants due to salmon in the population of the Western Europe]] | ||
* [[Variable:Dose-response function of persistent pollutants]] | * [[Variable:Dose-response function of persistent pollutants]] | ||
| + | * [[Variable:Total mortality in the Western Europe]] | ||
===Unit=== | ===Unit=== | ||
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===Formula=== | ===Formula=== | ||
| − | <anacode>var a:= -Risk_slope*pollutant_exposure/1000*western_europe; | + | <anacode> |
| − | + | var a:= -Risk_slope*pollutant_exposure/1000*western_europe; | |
| − | + | a:= (if pollutant1='Dioxin' then 0 else a); | |
| − | + | sum(a,pollutant1) | |
| + | </anacode> | ||
==Result== | ==Result== | ||
Revision as of 14:51, 18 February 2008
Scope
Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon describes the health risks of persistent pollutants found in the farmed salmon consumed in the Western Europe (EU-15, Norway, Iceland, and Switzerland). The risk is measured as avoided premature deaths per year (this leads to negative numbers for increased risks).
Definition
Data
- The plausible range is -10000 - 0 avoided cases per year (author judgement).
- Pollutant health risk is calculated assuming additivity between the pollutants.
- Dioxin risks are not considered because they were not considered in Hites' paper[1].
Causality
Upstream variables
- Variable:Exposure to persistent pollutants due to salmon in the population of the Western Europe
- Variable:Dose-response function of persistent pollutants
- Variable:Total mortality in the Western Europe
Unit
avoided cases/a
Formula
<anacode>
var a:= -Risk_slope*pollutant_exposure/1000*western_europe; a:= (if pollutant1='Dioxin' then 0 else a); sum(a,pollutant1)
</anacode>
Result
| Statistics or fractile | Business as usual | Recommend restrictions | Stricter rules for feed | Both |
| Mean | -206 | -151 | -139 | -102 |
| SD | 71 | 55 | 70 | 53 |
| 0.01 | -408 | -326 | -340 | -268 |
| 0.025 | -371 | -292 | -302 | -233 |
| 0.05 | -339 | -259 | -270 | -202 |
| 0.25 | -249 | -179 | -180 | -129 |
| 0.5 (Median) | -196 | -138 | -130 | -94 |
| 0.75 | -153 | -111 | -87 | -65 |
| 0.95 | -107 | -83 | -40 | -29 |
| 0.975 | -96 | -76 | -28 | -21 |
| 0.99 | -84 | -69 | -17 | -13 |
References
- ↑ R. A. Hites et al. Global assessment of organic contaminants in farmed salmon. Science, 9 Jan. 2004, p. 226
