Difference between revisions of "Scenario"
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- Scenario
- A set of assessment-specific assumptions about the results of one or more variables in the assessment. There are also alternative definitions that are not used in the Intarese framework:
- Archetypal descriptions of alternative images of the future, created from mental maps or models that reflect different perspectives on past, present and future developments. [1]
- A coherent, internally consistent and plausible description of a possible future state of the world. [2]
- Variation in the assumptions used to create models. [3]
- References
- ↑ Rotmans, J. (1998). Methods for IA: The challenges and opportunities ahead. Environmental modelling and Assessment 3(3), 155.
- ↑ Parry, M. and Carter, T. (1998). Climate impact and Adaptation Assessment. Earthscan Publications Ltd., London, UK.
- ↑ Peterson G.D., Cumming G.S., Carpenter S.R. (2003). Scenario Planning: a Tool for Conservation in an Uncertain World. Conservation Biology 17(2), 358-366.
