Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon
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Revision as of 07:48, 31 December 2007 by Jouni (talk | contribs) (based on image:Farmed salmon.ANA)
Scope
Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon describes Pollutant health risk is calculated assuming additivity between the pollutants. However, dioxin risks are not considered because they were not considered in Hites' paper[1]. After unit conversion, numbers are calculated for Western Europe as cases per year. Note that negative numbers mean increased risk unlike in previous versions of the model.
Definition
Data
No direct data is available, so the result is calculated based on the knowledge of causality.
Causality
Upstream variables
- Variable:Exposure to persistent pollutants due to salmon in the population of the Western Europe
- Variable:Dose-response function of persistent pollutants
Unit
avoided cases/a
Formula
<anacode>var a:= -Risk_slope*pollutant_exposure/1000*western_europe; var b:= (if pollutant1='Dioxin' then 0 else a); var c:= sum(b,pollutant1); c</anacode>
Result
| Statistics or fractile | Business as usual | Recommend restrictions | Stricter rules for feed | Both |
| Mean | -206 | -151 | -139 | -102 |
| SD | 71 | 55 | 70 | 53 |
| 0.01 | -408 | -326 | -340 | -268 |
| 0.025 | -371 | -292 | -302 | -233 |
| 0.05 | -339 | -259 | -270 | -202 |
| 0.25 | -249 | -179 | -180 | -129 |
| 0.5 (Median) | -196 | -138 | -130 | -94 |
| 0.75 | -153 | -111 | -87 | -65 |
| 0.95 | -107 | -83 | -40 | -29 |
| 0.975 | -96 | -76 | -28 | -21 |
| 0.99 | -84 | -69 | -17 | -13 |
References
- ↑ R. A. Hites et al. Global assessment of organic contaminants in farmed salmon. Science, 9 Jan. 2004, p. 226
