Climate change

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This page contains a description of causes and effects of what is commonly referred to as climate using the Pyrkilo method. The data used in this assessment is composed of 10 climate change related articles by 10 invited experts published in Helsingin Sanomat during Summer 2006.

The description currently only includes the causes of climate.
The effects side of the description will be added later.

Focus of the description

  1. Base-level focus: to describe the causes and effects of climate as a compilation of the contributions of the 10 writers
  2. Meta-level focus: to try the applicability of pyrkilo method for describing such a complex web of phenomena

Scope of the description

All input from all of the 10 writers are accepted as contributions. In addition, the moderator of the exercise has the right to include additonal material where needed to make implicit issues explicit, to fill in important gaps if they shall exist and to make the overall description coherent.

  • The spatial scope is primarily global, but some phenomena are also considered on regional and local scopes as well
  • The temporal scope of different contributors varies approximately within the orders of 101 to 105 years
  • All causes and effects of climate change mentioned in the articles are considered

Moderator

Mikko Pohjola Mikko 17:30, 16 November 2006 (EET)

Causal chain diagram

(The graph currently showing is outdated)

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Variable descriptions

Solar activity

Name: Solar activity

Focus and scope: The radiation output of sun.

Description: Some variation in the output has been noticed to happen in cycles of approximately 10 years. As a source of energy, sun can be considered as continuous within the scope of the whole assessment.

Inputs:

Contributors:

  • Matti Saarnisto, Ilmasto muuttuu 1, Helsingin Sanomat 28.6.2006

Earth's positioning in relation to sun

Solar energy input

Movement of tectonic plates

Earth surface

Airflows

Sea currents

Weathering

Human activity

Composition of the atmosphere

Reflected solar radiation

Absorbed energy

Energy transfer

Climate