Difference between revisions of "Talk:Kuopio Risk Assessment Workshop 2008"

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m (Draft Lecture outline -- Jouni 16:19, 6 February 2008 (EET): lecture contents slightly refined)
m (Draft Lecture outline -- Jouni 16:19, 6 February 2008 (EET))
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== Draft Lecture outline -- [[User:Jouni|Jouni]] 16:19, 6 February 2008 (EET) ==
 
== Draft Lecture outline -- [[User:Jouni|Jouni]] 16:19, 6 February 2008 (EET) ==
  
Lecture 1: Introduction to Open Risk Assessment (ORA) [[user:Jouni|Jouni]]
+
Lecture 1: Introduction to Open Risk Assessment (ORA) and the workshop [[user:Jouni|Jouni]]
 +
 
 +
{{comment|#1: |Should the first lecture purely concentrate on preparing, inspiring and guiding the people to follow up and adopt what will be presented during following days and save the whole general assessment framework overview to the second lecture, or should the general assessment framework overview be more clearly divided between lectures 1 and 2?|--[[User:Mikko Pohjola|Mikko Pohjola]] 11:26, 7 February 2008 (EET)}}
 
* Forget everything you knew about risk assessment
 
* Forget everything you knew about risk assessment
 
* During this week, we will describe a new approach to risk assessment. It has new developments from the theoretical foundation all the way to practical computer tools.
 
* During this week, we will describe a new approach to risk assessment. It has new developments from the theoretical foundation all the way to practical computer tools.
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** data sources that are directly available and applicable
 
** data sources that are directly available and applicable
 
* ORA is about information processing. The information is about the real world.
 
* ORA is about information processing. The information is about the real world.
* It is practical to describe the ORA work as processes, and the information as products.
 
* General processes: observation, info collection, synthesis, management
 
 
* A major aim of the system is to make the work systematic, reuse existing pieces of information, and save time and resources.
 
* A major aim of the system is to make the work systematic, reuse existing pieces of information, and save time and resources.
 
* What is the most efficient way of doing ORA?
 
* What is the most efficient way of doing ORA?
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** probability theory
 
** probability theory
 
** graph theory
 
** graph theory
** [[:en:pragma-dialectics|pragma-dialectics]] argumentation theory
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** [[:en:pragma-dialectics|pragma-dialectical]] argumentation theory
  
  
 
Lecture 2: General assessment framework (Mikko)
 
Lecture 2: General assessment framework (Mikko)
* purpose of assesments
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 +
{{comment|#2: |This lecture should provide an overview of things coming up during the workshop and (perhaps?) an overview of most important things that will not be covered during the workshop.|--[[User:Mikko Pohjola|Mikko Pohjola]] 11:26, 7 February 2008 (EET)}}
 +
* purpose of assessments
 
** to describe reality (variables)
 
** to describe reality (variables)
 
** to serve a specific need (assessments + variable scoping)
 
** to serve a specific need (assessments + variable scoping)
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*** acceptability, efficiency and relevance
 
*** acceptability, efficiency and relevance
 
** implications of allowing open participation
 
** implications of allowing open participation
* other relevant related concepts  
+
* other relevant related concepts? → [[Glossary]]
** [[Glossary]]
 
  
  
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Lecture 4: Information structure: relations between objects (Mikko)
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Lecture 4: Information structure of ORA: relations between objects (Mikko)
 
* variable, assessment, context, (class)
 
* variable, assessment, context, (class)
* presenting variables and assessments as causal diagrams
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* presenting assessments as causal diagrams
  
  
Lecture 5: Participation in assessments (Mikko)
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Lecture 5: Participating in assessments: argumentation (Mikko)
 
* discussion, commenting and argumentation
 
* discussion, commenting and argumentation
 
* argumentation theory ([[:en:pragma-dialectics|pragma-dialectics]])
 
* argumentation theory ([[:en:pragma-dialectics|pragma-dialectics]])
* argument is always about a statement
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** argument is always about a statement
 
** validity of an argument
 
** validity of an argument
 
** attack
 
** attack
 
** defend
 
** defend
 
** signature
 
** signature
 +
** comment
  
  
Lecture 6: moderation and quality control (Jouni)
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Lecture 6: Participating in assessments: moderation and quality control (Jouni)
 +
* principles of open participation
 
* reader, contributor, moderator, board of moderators
 
* reader, contributor, moderator, board of moderators
 
* different levels of protection
 
* different levels of protection
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Lecture 7: Evaluating assessment performance (Mikko)
 
Lecture 7: Evaluating assessment performance (Mikko)
* properties of good RA
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* properties of good assessments
** quality of content
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** quality of content: informativeness, calibration and relevance
** applicability
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** applicability: availability, usability and acceptability
** efficiency
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** efficiency: intra-assessment and inter-assessment efficiency
 
* relations between properties and information structure
 
* relations between properties and information structure
 
* evaluation as an inherent part of the process  
 
* evaluation as an inherent part of the process  

Revision as of 09:26, 7 February 2008

Post your questions and comments here

If you have any questions and or comments regarding anything related to the workshop, please post them here and we will try to sort them out. -- Mikko Pohjola 10:10, 5 February 2008 (EET)

Draft Lecture outline -- Jouni 16:19, 6 February 2008 (EET)

Lecture 1: Introduction to Open Risk Assessment (ORA) and the workshop Jouni

--#1: : Should the first lecture purely concentrate on preparing, inspiring and guiding the people to follow up and adopt what will be presented during following days and save the whole general assessment framework overview to the second lecture, or should the general assessment framework overview be more clearly divided between lectures 1 and 2? --Mikko Pohjola 11:26, 7 February 2008 (EET)

  • Forget everything you knew about risk assessment
  • During this week, we will describe a new approach to risk assessment. It has new developments from the theoretical foundation all the way to practical computer tools.
    • a new ontological foundation
    • strictly object-oriented approach
    • a new structure for objects
    • traditional methods for processing information, but organised in a more systematic way
    • tools that enable open collaboration
    • data sources that are directly available and applicable
  • ORA is about information processing. The information is about the real world.
  • A major aim of the system is to make the work systematic, reuse existing pieces of information, and save time and resources.
  • What is the most efficient way of doing ORA?
  • Practical way: short discussions only; all questions put into wiki and answered by the following day.
  • critical scientific disciplines you should be aware of
    • decision analysis
    • probability theory
    • graph theory
    • pragma-dialectical argumentation theory


Lecture 2: General assessment framework (Mikko)

--#2: : This lecture should provide an overview of things coming up during the workshop and (perhaps?) an overview of most important things that will not be covered during the workshop. --Mikko Pohjola 11:26, 7 February 2008 (EET)

  • purpose of assessments
    • to describe reality (variables)
    • to serve a specific need (assessments + variable scoping)
  • properties of good assessments
    • quality of content, applicability, efficiency
  • societal context of assessments
    • process, product and use
  • general assessment processes
    • observation
    • information collection, manipulation and synthesis
    • management of assessment process
  • universal products
    • assessment, variable, context, (class), causal diagram
  • open participation
    • why open participation?
      • acceptability, efficiency and relevance
    • implications of allowing open participation
  • other relevant related concepts? → Glossary


Lecture 3: Information structure of ORA: object internal structure (Jouni)

  • name, scope, definition, result
    • data, causality, unit, formula
    • data connections vs. causal connections
    • content, description and discussion


Lecture 4: Information structure of ORA: relations between objects (Mikko)

  • variable, assessment, context, (class)
  • presenting assessments as causal diagrams


Lecture 5: Participating in assessments: argumentation (Mikko)

  • discussion, commenting and argumentation
  • argumentation theory (pragma-dialectics)
    • argument is always about a statement
    • validity of an argument
    • attack
    • defend
    • signature
    • comment


Lecture 6: Participating in assessments: moderation and quality control (Jouni)

  • principles of open participation
  • reader, contributor, moderator, board of moderators
  • different levels of protection
    • openly available page
    • page closed; discussion available
    • discussion managed by moderator, contributions via nuggets


Lecture 7: Evaluating assessment performance (Mikko)

  • properties of good assessments
    • quality of content: informativeness, calibration and relevance
    • applicability: availability, usability and acceptability
    • efficiency: intra-assessment and inter-assessment efficiency
  • relations between properties and information structure
  • evaluation as an inherent part of the process


Lecture 8: Addressing uncertainties (Jouni)

  • probabilistic (real) uncertainties: informativeness, calibration about result
  • model "uncertainties": about definition
  • relevance: about scope
  • variability vs uncertainty