Difference between revisions of "Primary PM2.5 emissions from bus traffic in Helsinki Metropolitan Area"

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'''Scope'''<br>Mass PM2.5 emissions from the bus fleet per year in Helsinki Metropolitan Area (HMA).  
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[[category:Kuopio Risk Assessment Workshop 2008]]
'''The variable''' describes
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{{variable|moderator=Jouni}}
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== Scope ==
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Total mass primary PM2.5 emissions from the bus fleet per year in Helsinki Metropolitan Area (HMA)in 2020.
  
 
== Definition ==  
 
== Definition ==  
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=== Causality ===  
 
=== Causality ===  
 
List of parents:
 
List of parents:
* Emission factors
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*[[Bus engine technology]]
* Bus traffic intensity (number of bus trips? km travelled?)
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* Travelling velocity
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=== Data ===
* Temperature (other weather factors? - would this be a weather variable, a temperature variable, or not a variable?)
 
* Engine type
 
* Fuel type
 
  
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List of data files or sources:
  
----
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Data tables can be found from the analytica model: [[Image:Gasbus model 01.ANA]]
  
From paper model
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* Bus activities
* Bus km travelled
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** Bus kilometres travelled: 77000000 km (1999) <ref> YTV, Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council. (1999). Vaihtoehtoisten polttoaineiden k‰yttˆmahdollisuudet joukkoliikenteessä pääkaupunkiseudulla [The possibilities to use alternative fuels in public transport in the Helsinki metropolitan area]. Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council Publication Series B 1999:5 (in Finnish)</ref>
* Bus activity
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** Relative bus activity: trips per day: 1.596 (in 2020, relative to 1999) (used as a constant but no uncertainty considered) <ref>YTV, Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council. (1999). Helsinki Metropolitan Area Transport System Plan PLJ 1998. Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council Publication Series A 1999:4</ref>
* Relative emission factors
 
  
=== Data ===
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* Bus emission factors
List of data files or sources:  
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** Emission factor: 0.321 g/km (1999) <ref>YTV, Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council. (1999). Vaihtoehtoisten polttoaineiden k‰yttˆmahdollisuudet joukkoliikenteess‰ p‰‰kaupunkiseudulla [The possibilities to use alternative fuels in public transport in the Helsinki metropolitan area]. Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council Publication Series B 1999:5 (in Finnish).</ref>
*
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** Relative emission factors depending to the technology (relative to current fleet) <ref>YTV, Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council. (1999). Vaihtoehtoisten polttoaineiden k‰yttˆmahdollisuudet joukkoliikenteessä pääkaupunkiseudulla [The possibilities to use alternative fuels in public transport in the Helsinki metropolitan area]. Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council Publication Series B 1999:5 (in Finnish)</ref>
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** Relative emission factor uncertainty (for diesel with filter and natural gas, based on author judgement)
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* Total emission from buses kg/a in 1999 (this relates to all pollutants and is needed to deduce the primary PM <sub>2.5</sub>emission fraction) <ref>YTV, Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council. (1999). Vaihtoehtoisten polttoaineiden k‰yttˆmahdollisuudet joukkoliikenteess‰ p‰‰kaupunkiseudulla [The possibilities to use alternative fuels in public transport in the Helsinki metropolitan area]. Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council Publication Series B 1999:5 (in Finnish).</ref>
  
 
=== Formula ===  
 
=== Formula ===  
 
Analytica_id:  
 
Analytica_id:  
  
<anacode>Var a:=bus_km*(emission_factor/1000);
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:Var a:=bus_km*(emission_factor/1000);
a:=a*Relative_emission_fa;
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:a:=a*Relative_emission_fa;
a:=a*Relative_emission_f2;
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:a:=a*Relative_emission_f2;
a*Rel_bus_activity</anacode>
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:a*Rel_bus_activity
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The complete formula can be found from the analytica model: [[Image:Gasbus model 01.ANA]]
  
 
=== Unit ===  
 
=== Unit ===  
 
Kg/year
 
Kg/year
 
== Result ==
 
== Result ==
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* Year: 2020, using 4 different scenarios, defined in
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* [[Gasbus_-_health_impacts_of_Helsinki_bus_traffic]]
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{| {{prettytable}}
 
{| {{prettytable}}
 
|
 
|
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|----
 
|----
 
|}
 
|}
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{{resultlink|10}}
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== References ==
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<references/>
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[[Category:Helsinki]]

Latest revision as of 14:19, 20 March 2010



Scope

Total mass primary PM2.5 emissions from the bus fleet per year in Helsinki Metropolitan Area (HMA)in 2020.

Definition

Causality

List of parents:

Data

List of data files or sources:

Data tables can be found from the analytica model: File:Gasbus model 01.ANA

  • Bus activities
    • Bus kilometres travelled: 77000000 km (1999) [1]
    • Relative bus activity: trips per day: 1.596 (in 2020, relative to 1999) (used as a constant but no uncertainty considered) [2]
  • Bus emission factors
    • Emission factor: 0.321 g/km (1999) [3]
    • Relative emission factors depending to the technology (relative to current fleet) [4]
    • Relative emission factor uncertainty (for diesel with filter and natural gas, based on author judgement)
  • Total emission from buses kg/a in 1999 (this relates to all pollutants and is needed to deduce the primary PM 2.5emission fraction) [5]

Formula

Analytica_id:

Var a:=bus_km*(emission_factor/1000);
a:=a*Relative_emission_fa;
a:=a*Relative_emission_f2;
a*Rel_bus_activity

The complete formula can be found from the analytica model: File:Gasbus model 01.ANA

Unit

Kg/year

Result

  • Year: 2020, using 4 different scenarios, defined in
Min Mean Max Std. Dev. 0.05 0.25 0.5 0.75 0.95
BAU A 3.95E+04 3.95E+04 3.95E+04 0.01179 3.95E+04 3.95E+04 3.95E+04 3.95E+04 3.95E+04
EURO 3 D3 1.96E+04 1.96E+04 1.96E+04 0.01235 1.96E+04 1.96E+04 1.96E+04 1.96E+04 1.96E+04
CRT filter C 6013 9956 1.39E+04 1626 7233 8790 9956 1.11E+04 1.27E+04
Natural gas G31 4622 5763 6904 470.6 4975 5426 5763 6101 6551



References

  1. YTV, Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council. (1999). Vaihtoehtoisten polttoaineiden k‰yttˆmahdollisuudet joukkoliikenteessä pääkaupunkiseudulla [The possibilities to use alternative fuels in public transport in the Helsinki metropolitan area]. Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council Publication Series B 1999:5 (in Finnish)
  2. YTV, Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council. (1999). Helsinki Metropolitan Area Transport System Plan PLJ 1998. Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council Publication Series A 1999:4
  3. YTV, Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council. (1999). Vaihtoehtoisten polttoaineiden k‰yttˆmahdollisuudet joukkoliikenteess‰ p‰‰kaupunkiseudulla [The possibilities to use alternative fuels in public transport in the Helsinki metropolitan area]. Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council Publication Series B 1999:5 (in Finnish).
  4. YTV, Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council. (1999). Vaihtoehtoisten polttoaineiden k‰yttˆmahdollisuudet joukkoliikenteessä pääkaupunkiseudulla [The possibilities to use alternative fuels in public transport in the Helsinki metropolitan area]. Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council Publication Series B 1999:5 (in Finnish)
  5. YTV, Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council. (1999). Vaihtoehtoisten polttoaineiden k‰yttˆmahdollisuudet joukkoliikenteess‰ p‰‰kaupunkiseudulla [The possibilities to use alternative fuels in public transport in the Helsinki metropolitan area]. Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council Publication Series B 1999:5 (in Finnish).