Difference between revisions of "Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon"
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Scope
Pollutant health risk due to the consumption of salmon describes the health risks of persistent pollutants found in the farmed salmon consumed in the Western Europe (EU-15, Norway, Iceland, and Switzerland). The risk is measured as avoided premature deaths per year (this leads to negative numbers for increased risks).
Definition
Data
- The plausible range is -10000 - 0 avoided cases per year (author judgement).
- Pollutant health risk is calculated assuming additivity between the pollutants.
- Dioxin risks are not considered because they were not considered in Hites' paper[1].
Causality
Upstream variables
- Variable:Exposure to persistent pollutants due to salmon in the population of the Western Europe
- Variable:Dose-response function of persistent pollutants
- Variable:Total mortality in the Western Europe
Unit
avoided cases/a
Formula
<anacode>
var a:= -Risk_slope*pollutant_exposure/1000*western_europe; a:= (if pollutant1='Dioxin' then 0 else a); sum(a,pollutant1)
</anacode>
Result
| Statistics or fractile | Business as usual | Recommend restrictions | Stricter rules for feed | Both |
| Mean | -206 | -151 | -139 | -102 |
| SD | 71 | 55 | 70 | 53 |
| 0.01 | -408 | -326 | -340 | -268 |
| 0.025 | -371 | -292 | -302 | -233 |
| 0.05 | -339 | -259 | -270 | -202 |
| 0.25 | -249 | -179 | -180 | -129 |
| 0.5 (Median) | -196 | -138 | -130 | -94 |
| 0.75 | -153 | -111 | -87 | -65 |
| 0.95 | -107 | -83 | -40 | -29 |
| 0.975 | -96 | -76 | -28 | -21 |
| 0.99 | -84 | -69 | -17 | -13 |
References
- ↑ R. A. Hites et al. Global assessment of organic contaminants in farmed salmon. Science, 9 Jan. 2004, p. 226
