ERF of ambient temperature on mortality

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Scope

What is the exposure-response function (ERF) of ambient temperature on mortality in Europe measured as % difference in summer (April-September) mortality per degree (Max Apparent Temperature) above the heat threshold (95% confidence intervals).

Definition

Data

Table 1: Exposure-response functions: for heat effects on mortality by age group. Heat: % change in summer (April-September) mortality per degree (AT°C) above the heat threshold (95% confidence intervals).

	Mediterranean pooled estimate	North-continental pooled estimate
Heat threshold	29.4 (25.7-32.4)	23.3 (22.5-24.0)
Age	Natural mortality
15-64	0.92 (-1.92, 3.13)	1.31 (-0.94. 3.72)
65-74	2.13 (-0.42, 4.74)	1.65 (-0.5, 3.87)
75+	4.22 (1.33, 7.20)	2.07 (0.24, 3.89)
All ages	3.12 (0.60, 5.72)	1.84 (0.06, 3.64)
Age	Cardiovascular mortality
15-64	0.57 (-2.47 to 3.83)	1.04 (_2.20 to 4.92)
65-74	1.92 (-1.49 to 5.35)	1.50 (1.12 to 4.62)
75+	4.66 (1.13 to 8.18)	2.55 (0.24 to 5.51)
All ages	3.70 (0.36 to 7.04)	2.44 (0.09 to 5.32)
Age	Respiratory mortality
15-64	1.54 (-3.68 to 7.22)	3.02 (-1.55 to 7.42)
65-74	3.37 (-1.46 to 8.22)	3.90 (-0.16 to 8.92)
75+	8.10 (3.24 to 13.37)	6.62 (3.04 to 11.42))
All ages	6.71 (2.43 to 11.26)	6.10 (2.46 to 11.08)

Unit

% change in mortality associated with a 1 degree increase in maximum apparent temperature above the region-specific threshold.