ERF of ambient temperature on mortality

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Scope

Exposure-response relationship for short-term ambient heat exposure and mortality.

Dimensions and boundaries relevant for the variable

  • Cause of death
  • Country/other geographic area (differences in heat exposure/effects due to climate, physiological, cultural or behavioral factors)
  • Age of exposed population

Definition

Data

PHEWE-project [1]

Meta-analytical percent changes in daily mortality by age-group with 1oC increase in daily maximum apparent temperature above the city-specific threshold temperature in European cities in APril-September

Mediterranean pooled estimate North-continental pooled estimate
Heat threshold 29.4 (25.7-32.4) 23.3 (22.5-24.0)
Age Natural mortality
15-64 0.92 (-1.92, 3.13) 1.31 (-0.94. 3.72)
65-74 2.13 (-0.42, 4.74) 1.65 (-0.5, 3.87)
75+ 4.22 (1.33, 7.20) 2.07 (0.24, 3.89)
All ages 3.12 (0.60, 5.72) 1.84 (0.06, 3.64)
Age Cardiovascular mortality
15-64 0.57 (-2.47 to 3.83) 1.04 (-2.20 to 4.92)
65-74 1.92 (-1.49 to 5.35) 1.50 (1.12 to 4.62)
75+ 4.66 (1.13 to 8.18) 2.55 (0.24 to 5.51)
All ages 3.70 (0.36 to 7.04) 2.44 (0.09 to 5.32)
Age Respiratory mortality
15-64 1.54 (-3.68 to 7.22) 3.02 (-1.55 to 7.42)
65-74 3.37 (-1.46 to 8.22) 3.90 (-0.16 to 8.92)
75+ 8.10 (3.24 to 13.37) 6.62 (3.04 to 11.42))
All ages 6.71 (2.43 to 11.26) 6.10 (2.46 to 11.08)
  • Meta-analytical estimates are based on studies in the following cities:
    • Mediterranean cities: Athens, Rome, Barcelona, Valencia, Turin, Milan, Lubljana
    • North-continental cities: Prague, Budapest, Zurich, Paris, Helsinki, Stockholm, London, Dublin
  • Based on climate and mortality data for the period 1990-2000
  • Exposure assessment: daily maximum apparent outdoor air temperature (nearest airport weather station of each city)

Unit

%/°C

Result

Show results


See also

References

  1. Baccini M, Biggeri A, Accetta G, Kosatsky T, Katsouyanni K, Analitis A, Ross Anderson H, Bisanti L, D'Ippoliti D, Danova J, Forsberg B, Medina S, Paldy A, Rabczenko D, Schindler C & Michelozzi P. 2008. Heat Effects on Mortality in 15 European Cities. Epidemiology, 15: 711-719.