Common Case Study

From Testiwiki
Revision as of 14:04, 26 February 2010 by Jouni (talk | contribs) (adjusted for the whole MCS; links to new variables added)
Jump to: navigation, search



Mega case study is a European-wide (EU-30) assessment with the focus on climate change but several different aspects looked at the same time.

Scope

Purpose

What are the health effects of climate change mitigation and adaptation policies in Europe (EU-30)? Both effects of climate policies and effects of climate change are included.

Boundaries

  • Temporal: Current situation to 2050. Special emphasis on years 2020, 2030, 2050.
  • Spatial: EU-30
  • Sectors: Energy supply and consumption with special emphasis on building heating/cooling, electricity use, and road transport; agriculture; water supply.
  • Endpoints: Application costs, health impacts, health care costs, greenhouse gas emissions.

Scenarios

Global IPCC scenarios:

  • Business-as-usual (BAU): IPCC A1B scenario as the reference scenario
  • Policy scenario: IPCC B1 scenario most likely to lead to only +2 °C change in temperature

European climate scenarios

  • Business-as-usual scenario: NEEDS reference scenario + GAINS reference scenario
  • Policy scenario: NEEDS 450 ppm climate protection scenario + GAINS policy scenario

Both sets of scenarios are looked at separately, so in the analysis we will get four sets of results. In practice the first two are of the main interest.

  1. Global BAU + European BAU
  2. Global BAU + European policy scenario
  3. Global policy scenario + European BAU
  4. Global policy scenario + European policy scenario.

Intended users

  • Policy-makers in the Copenhagen (Mexico City) process.
  • National policy-makers.

Participants

Definition

Energy, buildings, and transport sub-assessment

Decision variables: Road transport policies in Europe | Building policies in Europe | Energy efficiency policies on domestic appliances in Europe | Energy supply policies in Europe |

Indicators: Greenhouse gas emissions in Europe | Burden of disease in Europe | Costs of climate change policies in Europe |

Other variables / pollutants: Air pollutant emissions in Europe | Air pollutant exposures in Europe | ERF of PM2.5 on mortality in general population | ERF for heat exposure and mortality | ERF for heat exposure and morbidity

Other variables / population: Cardiovascular diseases in Europe | Cardiovascular mortality in the Western Europe | Cardiovascular morbidity/mortality *| Respiratory diseases in Europe | Respiratory morbidity/mortality *| Cancer *| Cancer in Europe | Variable:Total mortality in the Western Europe *| WHO mortality data | Morbidity data for Europe | Duration of morbidity | Exposure scaling factors in Europe | Population of Europe | DALY weights

* These variables need renaming and complete re-editing.

Agriculture sub-assessment

Error creating thumbnail: Unable to save thumbnail to destination

Agriculture mega case study.ANA model file for agriculture module (Analytica file).

Indicators: Neurodevelopmental effect of nitrate | Cancer due to pesticides in Europe | Gastric infections in Europe

Decisions: Pesticide regulation in Europe | Irrigation practices of agricultural land in Europe | Biofuel production in Europe | Meat consumption in Europe

Other variables: Population of Europe | Number of farm animals in Europe | Fertilizer use in Europe | Pesticide use in Europe | Pesticide exposure in Europe | ERF of pesticides on cancer | Livestock wastes in Europe | Nitrate leaching and run-off in Europe | Livestock waste leaching and run-off in Europe |

Analyses

See also

References

Retrieved from "http://www.opasnet.org/testiwiki/index.php?title=Common_Case_Study&oldid=14637"