Decision analysis and risk management
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Decison analysis and risk management is a university course for Master of Science students in Environmental health risk assessment.
Background information from other available Risk assessment study programs are provided here: http://en.opasnet.org/w/Decision_analysis_and_risk_management_-_background_information
Contents
Scope
Definition
Statistics
- list of links to some methods of descriptive statistics
- list of links to many methods inferential statistics
- fairly thorough description of sensitivity analysis
- thorough mathematical description of uncertainty propagation and covariance matrices; nothing about Monte Carlo
- how to integrate with Monte Carlo; not necessary in risk assessment
- a short description of training in subjective probabilities
Exposure
- only a stub
- EPA Exposure factors program interesting for both teaching and opasnet Base
- some basic concepts of exposure assessment
- short description of basic concepts and examples of biomarkers in exposure assessment
- a short description of exposure modelling with indoor and outdoor air as examples
- official ISEA/IPCS exposure glossary -> put to opasnet glossary
- total exposure assessment by Paul Lioy (1990)
- EPA exposure factors handbook: chapter on uncertainty and variability
Toxicology
- general terms and concepts of toxicology
- a stub with useful links about toxicology
- measures of toxic pollutant concentrations: short description about NOEC and ECx
- mathematics of probit model; advanced material
- the carcinogenic potency database: learn more about this!
Epidemiology and public health
- good description of basic concepts of epidemiology
- a description but mostly about history and other trivia (trivia from RA point of view)
Risk characterisation
Risk management
Risk and impact assessment
- overview of RA in different fields
- a long description of relevant concepts of risk management
- ISO/IEC guide 73:2009 about risk assessment vocabulary
- a good description of basic concepts of risk
- only a list of software; the software themselves may be interesting but haven't checked
- only a placeholder of hazard identification
- a brief description of HIA but lots of links
- a short description of a new standard ISO 31000
- short description of PRA with software links
- EPA risk assessment website: learn more about it!
- Object oriented quality management: interesting idea of Statistics Netherlands; implementation unclear
Decision analysis and economy
- description of concept of cost overrun (economy)
- strategic misinterpretation (underestimation) of budget; an interesting detail related to economy
Open assessment
- a general lecture about the utility of open assessment
- background information about open assessments
- background about variables
- background about mass collaboration
- evaluating assessment performance
Miscellaneous
- very brief description of EU-OSHA
- Institute of Risk Management - gives RA education?
- this is about education assessment and learning philosophy. not very relevant
Result
- Name
- Decision analysis and risk management
- ECTS-credits
- 6
- Abbreviation
- DARM
CONTENT
- Learning outcomes
- The student will learn about the fundaments of decision analysis; and the connections between societal decision-making and risk assessment. He is able to apply the scientific method and falsification in the context of risk assessment. He also knows how to build an assessment based on the requirements of risk management.
- Content
- Theory of decision analysis.
- Value of information.
- Bayesian rule and Bayesian networks.
- Scientific method, falsification.
- Pragma-dialectic argumentation theory.
- Risk assessment as a collaborative project of information production.
- Opasnet and other web tools for risk assessment.
- Developing risk management options.
- Science-policy interface.
- Learning material
- Online course readings in Opasnet: http://en.opasnet.org
- Degree Programme(s)
- ToxEn, Environment health risk assessment
IMPLEMENTATION
- Time
- Spring 2011
Teaching / Learning Methods
- Lectures 36 h
- Tutorial 0 h
- One-to-One Teaching 0 h
- Group Work 30 h
- Independent Study 96 h
- Web-Based Learning 30 %
- Additional Information on Teaching / Learning Methods
- Group work is in computer class.
- Teaching Languages
- English
- Additional Information on Languages
- Offered for Students in Other Universities (JOO-opintoja)
- YES
ASSESSMENT
- Assessment is Based on
- Written Examination
- Project
- Additional Information
- The project will be a practical participation in a risk assessment in Opasnet.
- Assessment
- 0 (Fail) – 5 (Excellent)
- Additional Information
- Prerequisites
CONTACTS
- Organising Departments
- Department of environmental science (in collaboration with the National Institute for Health and Welfare)
- Course Director
- Jukka Juutilainen
- Teachers
- Jouni Tuomisto, Mikko Pohjola, Marko Tainio
- Contact Persons
- mikko.pohjola(at)thl.fi
- Registration for the Course
- Wossikka
FURTHER INFORMATION
- Keywords
- Risk assessment, decision analysis, Bayesian theory, open assessment, risk management, societal decision making.
- Further Information
