Difference between revisions of "Decision analysis and risk management 2015"

Revision as of 09:07, 3 March 2015

This page is about a course Decision analysis and risk management organised in 2015. For a course organised in 2013 and 2011, see Decision analysis and risk management 2013 and Decision analysis and risk management, respectively. If you cannot find answers on these pages, you can contact the course organiser Jouni Tuomisto (jouni.tuomisto(at)thl.fi).

Decision analysis and risk management (DARM)[1] is a course taught in the University of Eastern Finland (UEF) for Master's (MSc) Degree Programme in General Toxicology and Environmental Health Risk Assessment ToxEn.

Aims of the course

To give a good understanding and practical skills to perform, participate, and moderate decision analyses, open assessments, and open policy practice using Opasnet.

The capability to act as an expert facilitator is the key objective in developing the course content. The purpose is to learn to effectively use facilitation to improve decision support.

In the course:

The student will learn about the fundamentals of decision analysis, the connections between assessments and societal decision making, and the role of decision making in a pragmatic context of improving outcomes. The student will learn to apply the scientific method and falsification in the context of an assessment, and know how to build an open assessment based on the requirements of societal decision making.

The focus is on how to convincingly exclude poor decision options rather than trying to find a theoretically optimal solution (e.g. with highest expected utility).

Course details

• Name: Decision analysis and risk management          
• Abbreviation: DARM
• ECTS-credits: 6
• Home page of the course: http://en.opasnet.org/w/Darm
• Degree Programme: ToxEn, Environment health risk assessment
• Teaching Language: English, with Finnish accent
• Offered for Students in Other Universities (JOO-opintoja): Yes.
• Organising Departments: Department of environmental science (in collaboration with the National Institute for Health and Welfare, THL)          
• Course Director: Jukka Juutilainen
• Teachers: Jouni Tuomisto, Mikko Pohjola, Marjo Niittynen
• Contact Persons email: jouni.tuomisto(at)thl.fi     
• Registration for the Course: WebOodi at UEF. If you don't need course credits, you can contact Jouni Tuomisto directly.

Teaching / Learning Methods

• Lectures 14 h
• Checkpoints of exercises 3 h
• Seminars (practical work done presented by students): 6 h
• Course evaluation discussion 1 h
• TOTAL 24 h
• Distance learning: Own reading and homeworks 138 h

Lectures

See the Content and schedule table for timing, locations, topics and links to materials. One lecture and classroom exercise session is 2 * 45 min, and they are typically held without a break. The lectures and sessions start 15 min past full hour.

Study materials include e.g. PowerPoint files, scanned articles or book chapters, web-sites and web-documents. Due to copyright reasons, some of the materials are distributed through a password protected HEANDE-page. Passwords to HEANDE will be distributed during the lectures. In the end of the page there are some more links for further information.

Homework exercises

See Decision analysis and risk management 2015/Homework

Evaluation

Acceptable completion of all homeworks 1-10 and seminar presentation in the end of the course. Seminars are mandatory.

Homeworks 1 - 3 are evaluated on a 0-1 scale, where 0 = not completed and 1 = completed.

Homeworks 4 - 10 and seminar presentation are evaluated on a 0-2 scale, where 0 = not completed, 1 = satisfactory, 1.5 = good, 2 = excellent.

Satisfactory completion of all homework exercise gives 10 points and score 1 (on a 1-5 scale). By doing better that satisfactorily in exercises 3-9, it is possible to get a higher score as follows:

Content and schedule

To prepare for the course: study these terms: Glossary#Terms in open assessment. This is important, because in open policy practice we use a lot of words that in everyday language may be synonyms or may have several different meanings. In this context, they have a specific meaning and they are NOT replaceable with similar terms.

14 h lectures, 3 h checkpoints of work progress, 6 h seminars, 1 h evaluation. Total 24 hours of on-site learning.

Distant learning: reading materials, lecture notes, homeworks 1-10. Total 138 h.

Help and guidance

Help requests or other comments can be posted on the course web-page or the exercise web-page by using the comment boxes on the end of the pages (no user account / log in required) or on the discussion pages.

See also

• Eracedu: related further education courses in Kuopio (in Finnish)
• Design for government course in the University of Helsinki
• Govlab
• LIVE FEED FROM LECTURES in 2013 and 2011 (not a complete set)

Content of 2011 course

Abbreviations: DA = decision analysis, RM = risk management, RA = risk assessment, RC = risk communication.

Links to additional DA materials

Links to additional RM materials

• IRGC risk governance framework
• Risk governance deficits - Analysis and illustration
• Risk assessment and risk management in regulatory decision making
• International Risk Governance Council
• The National Academies Press (publisher of e.g. "red book", "orange book", and "silver book")

Background information about other Decision analysis and risk management study programs in Europe and in USA is provided here: Decision analysis and risk management - background information

NOTE! On this page, there was a list of related further education courses in Kuopio (in Finnish).

Keywords

Risk assessment. Decision analysis. Bayesian theory. Open assessment. Risk management. Societal decision making.     

To do

• Update Open policy practice for homework 1.
• Update homework 1 questions to reflect open policy practice.
• Training assessment should be either replaced by a real case of updated.
• Update slides in lectures 1-4
• Move from Heande to Op_en: Evaluating performance of environmental health assessments.
• Go through pages in Template:Opasnet training and check what is needed.
• Translate op_fi:APTK into OPP.
• Fill in the attributes of Pneumococcal vaccine assessment.
• Update rcodes on ERF of dioxin
• HW2: View and upload data to the database using database tools.
• Make a guide about all HW2 items and provide links.
• Update page type colours in all wikis. Improve nugget colour.
• Ovariable development as a bonus tasks if you want a better score. What is the minimum task?
• Hw2 view and upload data to the database using database tools.
• Tee ohje kaikista hw2 asioista. Ja linkit tarjottava.
• Sivutyyppien värit kuntoon joka wikissä. Ja nuhget paremmaksi.
• Ovariablet bonustehtäväksi jos haluaa paremman arvosanan.
• Konkreettinen esimerkki päätöksenteon ongelmksta. Sen kautta esitellään oppn hyödyt. Mikä? Ipcc? Joku oman elämän esimerkki? Mieluummin ehkä yhteiskunnallimen jotta tulee realistisia rooleja. Otetaan silakka bra esimerkiksi vai pneumokokki ja ilmastoaihe konkreettisen työn kohteeksi.
• Tee eka luennolla harjoitus jossa ryhmänä koetetaan luoda jaettu ymmärrys jostain selkeästä aiheesta. Pieni ja tuttu aihe mutta mikä. Pitää olla yhteisöllinen.
• Hw7 korjaa ettei rcode enää ole vastauksen alla vaan siellä on kutsukoodi ja käyttöohje.
• Hw7 jaa sivut valmiinsi numeroiduille pareille. Numerot jaetaan kurssilla. Jokaiselle ainakin yksi varoable methos ja encyclopedia.
• Hw8 keskustelulle uusi aihe joka on ajankohtainen. Helsingin ilmastopolitiikka? Pitää tehdä englanniksi.
• Siirrä hw taulukot opp sivulle ao kohtiin.
• Assessment evaluation tehtävä oikeista arvioinneista: silakka urgenche kuopio, rauma, joitakin opasnetin ulkopuolelta? Minera vesiopas pahtavaara talvivaara fuk ushima
• Ohjeeseen hw3->hw4
• Hw10 käännä vanhat heande linkit openiin ja korjaa opfillnkki. Päivitä viitelista.
• Hw1 uudet kysymykset.
• Mikon kirja abstrakti lukulistalle.

References

Related files