Difference between revisions of "Health effects of urban heat islands"

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==Discussion with Rainer, Jouni, and Alex 6.7.2010==
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[[heande:Urban heat island]]
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[[Category:Health impact]]
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[[Category:Heat]]
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[[Category:Mega case study]]
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[[Category:Intarese]]
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{{variable|moderator=Virpi Kollanus}}
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==Scope==
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==Definition==
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===Data===
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* [http://asusmart.com/projects/climate/relation-between-urban-morphology-and-heat-vulnerability-in-the-city-of-chicago Relation between Urban Morphology and Heat Vulnerability in the City of Chicago]
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*[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Larger_Urban_Zone Larger Urban Zones in Europe]
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===Dependencies===
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* [[Urban heat island effect in Europe]]
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* [[Total mortality in the Western Europe]]
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* [[Heat exposure in Europe]]
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** [[Urban heat island effect in Europe]]
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** [[Ambient air temperature in Europe]]
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* [[ERF of ambient temperature on mortality]]
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===Unit===
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===Formula===
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{{todo|Take Maud's [[:heande:ERF of heat exposure on mortality|Excel models]] of heat HIA and convert those into R (or Analytica).|Virpi Kollanus, Jouni Tuomisto|project=Intarese, Heimtsa}}
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[http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=1096&docver=1&fileid=1096&filever=1&filename=WP4-3%20health%20impact%20model%20heat%20MED-region.xls]
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[http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=1095&docver=1&fileid=1095&filever=1&filename=WP4-3%20health%20impact%20model%20heat%20NC-region.xls]
  
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* Deadline for this part of MCS analysis: early September.
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:D6=[[Total mortality in the Western Europe]]*0.5 # Only summer months included
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* Deadline for the MCS report: end of September
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:G6=[[ERF for heat exposure and mortality]]
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:I6='inputvariable per grid-city'!D19-'inputvariable per grid-city'!C19 #[[Heat exposure in Europe]] (scenario-baseline)
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:N6=(((EXP(I6*$G6))-1)/(EXP(I6*$G6))) #PAF (proportional attributable fraction?)
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:S6=N6*'inputvariable per grid-city'!D6 #PAF*summer mortality
  
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Three main topics for [[THL]] to assess in the [Mega case study]]:
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==Result==
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# concentration change of outdoor-to-indoor pollutants due to insulation
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#* Stuttgart has basic data on buildings, both Northern and Southern Europe. They will send information about them.
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{{resultlink}}
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#* Estimates will be made by  THL about how fast the better insulation in buildings will change (rought estimate 1-2%/a of house stock gets improved)
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#** Based on this, changes in ventilation will be estimated. Easiest is to calculate old and new/renovated buildings separately with high/low ventilation? Another aspect is incoming air filtration, which reduces some pollutants. How many houses are better insulated?
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==See also==
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#* Matti has building and heating information from several countries. In addition, Otto has done work on Finnish ventilation and insulation issues. Jouni will talk with both of them.
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#* Jouni will check Ullas work on radon mould.
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* [http://en.opasnet.org/en-opwiki/index.php?title=Health_effects_of_urban_heat_islands&oldid=16759 Discussion with Rainer, Jouni, and Alex 6.7.2010]
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#* Make sure that all relevant pollutants are included: formaldehyde, environmental tobacco smoke, radon, PM, others?. Do we have background concentrations? Jouni will talk with Matti.
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#* Who calculates the whole chain? THL based on Hilary's and Fintan's [[ERF]]s.
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==References==
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#* The official MCS scenarios have insulation, Marcus from Ustutt (energy modeller) has some insulaton data. Jouni will ask for that.
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# Due to bioenergy emphasis, there will be more wood burning ->more pm?
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<references/>
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#* More wood burning as a source to indoor air directly
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#* Cenral stoves are not bad in this but open stoves in the room are. They may have high emissions to indoor air. Jouni will ask Marko, as he has made some estimates already.
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==Related files==
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#* Look also at the outdoor emissions.
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#* Question: where do we get data for Central and South Europe? Jouni will talk with Marko.
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{{mfiles}}
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#* 10 % (of what) in stuttgart comes from wood burning.
 
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# Urban heat islands
 
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#* Jouni will get data from Sandra. Data already exists for also other than year 2005. Data is in EMEP grid (and is hourly?)
 
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#** Ustutt will come back to this within a day and tell what can be provided.
 
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[[Category:Mega case study]]
 

Latest revision as of 13:47, 12 November 2010



Scope

Definition

Data

Dependencies

Unit

Formula

TODO: {{#todo:Take Maud's Excel models of heat HIA and convert those into R (or Analytica).|Virpi Kollanus, Jouni Tuomisto|Intarese, Heimtsa}}

[1] [2]

D6=Total mortality in the Western Europe*0.5 # Only summer months included
G6=ERF for heat exposure and mortality
I6='inputvariable per grid-city'!D19-'inputvariable per grid-city'!C19 #Heat exposure in Europe (scenario-baseline)
N6=(((EXP(I6*$G6))-1)/(EXP(I6*$G6))) #PAF (proportional attributable fraction?)
S6=N6*'inputvariable per grid-city'!D6 #PAF*summer mortality

Result

See also

References


Related files

<mfanonymousfilelist></mfanonymousfilelist>

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