Health effects of urban heat islands

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Scope

Total mortality in the Western Europe
Heat exposure in Europe
- Urban heat island effect in Europe
- Ambient air temperature in Europe
ERF of ambient temperature on mortality
- Following WP3.7-work and WP4.3-screening, DRF will be based on the PHEWE project, which investigated the acute health effects of weather in 15 European cities and provided both pooled estimates (Mediterranean region and North-Continental region) of the impact of heat on mortality (Michelozzi et al. 2007; Baccini et al. 2008). DRFs are based on a linear threshold model. Heat exposure is defined as follows: °C Daily maximum Apparent Temperature over threshold temperature, warm season (April-September).
- Assumption: Threshold and the DRF differ for the Mediterranean region and the North-continental region; we therefore assume that the EU-27 can be divided into two larger regions with different DRF.
- Assumption: Temperatures above thresholds will only occur in warm season (April-September)
- Assumption: DRF for mortality due to natural causes can be applied to total mortality

TODO: {{#todo:Take Maud's Excel models of heat HIA and convert those into R (or Analytica).|Virpi Kollanus, Jouni Tuomisto|Intarese, Heimtsa}}

I6='inputvariable per grid-city'!D19-'inputvariable per grid-city'!C19 #Heat exposure in Europe (scenario-baseline)

N6=(((EXP(I6*$G6))-1)/(EXP(I6*$G6))) #PAF (proportional attributable fraction?)

S6=N6*'inputvariable per grid-city'!D6 #PAF*summer mortality