Difference between revisions of "The mortality due to PM 2.5 from buses"

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(New page: Name: The mortality due to PM 2.5 from buses Scope: Health impacts of fine articles from buses Definition: * Data: ** mortality due to cardiopulmonary, lung cancer and other causes, *...)
 
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Name: The mortality due to PM 2.5 from buses
+
{{variable}}
Scope: Health impacts of fine articles from buses
+
==Scope==
  
Definition: 
+
Number of premature deaths due to PM 2.5 from buses in Helsinki Metropolitan Area in 2020
* Data:
+
{{reslink| Scope should contain temporal information}}
** mortality due to cardiopulmonary, lung cancer and other causes,
 
**exposure to road traffic PM 2.5,
 
**the fraction of bus exposure of total road traffic exposure
 
  
* Causality: relationship between the exposure of PM 2.5 and health impacts
+
==Definition==
* Unit: estimated deaths per year associated with primary PM 2.5
 
* Formula:
 
  
Results:
+
===Data===
 +
 
 +
* mortality due to cardiopulmonary, lung cancer and other causes,
 +
* exposure to road traffic PM 2.5,
 +
* the fraction of bus exposure of total road traffic exposure
 +
 
 +
===Causality===
 +
 
 +
* effect of bus type on PM 2.5 emissions and exposure,{{disclink| Delete "Effect of bus type on PM2.5 emissions and exposure"}}
 +
* relationship between the exposure of PM 2.5 and mortality effects
 +
 
 +
===Unit===
 +
 
 +
Estimated deaths per year associated with primary PM 2.5
 +
 
 +
===Formula===
 +
 
 +
deltaM = Mb(eexp(bdeltaE)-1)
 +
 
 +
* b = dose-response coefficient
 +
* deltaE = change in exposure
 +
* Mb = background mortality{{reslink|Talk:The mortality due to PM 2.5 from buses}}
 +
 
 +
==Results==
 +
 
 +
{| {{prettytable}}
 +
|Scenario
 +
!colspan="3"|Current 1997
 +
|----
 +
!Endpoint
 +
!Cardiopulmonary
 +
!Lung ca
 +
!All others
 +
|----
 +
|Mean
 +
|10
 +
|1.4
 +
|0.1
 +
|----
 +
|SD
 +
|9.3
 +
|1.3
 +
|1.6
 +
|----
 +
|0.01
 +
|0
 +
| -1.3
 +
| -5.4
 +
|----
 +
|0.025
 +
|0
 +
| -0.6
 +
| -1.9
 +
|----
 +
|0.05
 +
|0
 +
| -0.1
 +
|0
 +
|----
 +
|0.25
 +
|0
 +
|0.7
 +
|0
 +
|----
 +
|0.5 (Median)
 +
|9
 +
|1.3
 +
|0
 +
|----
 +
|0.75
 +
|15.6
 +
|2
 +
|0
 +
|----
 +
|0.95
 +
|27.3
 +
|3.9
 +
|0.7
 +
|----
 +
|0.975
 +
|31.3
 +
|4.6
 +
|3.5
 +
|----
 +
|0.99
 +
|36.1
 +
|5.8
 +
|6.4
 +
|}
 +
 
 +
{| {{prettytable}}
 +
|Scenario
 +
!colspan="3"|Year 2020
 +
|----
 +
!Endpoint
 +
!Cardiopulmonary
 +
!Lung ca
 +
!All others
 +
|----
 +
|Mean
 +
|13.1
 +
|1.9
 +
|0.1
 +
|----
 +
|SD
 +
|23.1
 +
|3.5
 +
|3
 +
|----
 +
|0.01
 +
|0
 +
| -1.3
 +
| -4.6
 +
|----
 +
|0.025
 +
|0
 +
| -0.5
 +
| -1.3
 +
|----
 +
|0.05
 +
|0
 +
|0
 +
|0
 +
|----
 +
|0.25
 +
|0
 +
|0.3
 +
|0
 +
|----
 +
|0.5 (Median)
 +
|5.6
 +
|0.9
 +
|0
 +
|----
 +
|0.75
 +
|15.4
 +
|2.2
 +
|0
 +
|----
 +
|0.95
 +
|51.4
 +
|7.4
 +
|0.5
 +
|----
 +
|0.975
 +
|76.7
 +
|10.5
 +
|2.7
 +
|----
 +
|0.99
 +
|114.2
 +
|16.2
 +
|8
 +
|----
 +
|}
 +
 
 +
{{resultlink}}

Latest revision as of 07:05, 25 August 2008


Scope

Number of premature deaths due to PM 2.5 from buses in Helsinki Metropolitan Area in 2020 R↻

Definition

Data

  • mortality due to cardiopulmonary, lung cancer and other causes,
  • exposure to road traffic PM 2.5,
  • the fraction of bus exposure of total road traffic exposure

Causality

  • effect of bus type on PM 2.5 emissions and exposure,D↷
  • relationship between the exposure of PM 2.5 and mortality effects

Unit

Estimated deaths per year associated with primary PM 2.5

Formula

deltaM = Mb(eexp(bdeltaE)-1)

  • b = dose-response coefficient
  • deltaE = change in exposure
  • Mb = background mortalityR↻

Results

Scenario Current 1997
Endpoint Cardiopulmonary Lung ca All others
Mean 10 1.4 0.1
SD 9.3 1.3 1.6
0.01 0 -1.3 -5.4
0.025 0 -0.6 -1.9
0.05 0 -0.1 0
0.25 0 0.7 0
0.5 (Median) 9 1.3 0
0.75 15.6 2 0
0.95 27.3 3.9 0.7
0.975 31.3 4.6 3.5
0.99 36.1 5.8 6.4
Scenario Year 2020
Endpoint Cardiopulmonary Lung ca All others
Mean 13.1 1.9 0.1
SD 23.1 3.5 3
0.01 0 -1.3 -4.6
0.025 0 -0.5 -1.3
0.05 0 0 0
0.25 0 0.3 0
0.5 (Median) 5.6 0.9 0
0.75 15.4 2.2 0
0.95 51.4 7.4 0.5
0.975 76.7 10.5 2.7
0.99 114.2 16.2 8