Difference between revisions of "Decision analysis and risk management 2013"
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:60 h lectures, 8 hrs seminars. | :60 h lectures, 8 hrs seminars. | ||
− | :MC classrooms are | + | :MC classrooms are computer classrooms. |
− | + | '''This is the content of 2011 course, and it will be updated!''' Abbreviations: DA = decision analysis, RM = risk management, RA = risk assessment, RC = risk communication. | |
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− | + | '''Introduction to the course | |
− | + | * introduction to decision analysis: [[:File:Decision analysis and risk management.ppt|slides]] | |
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− | + | '''Introduction to risk management | |
− | + | * Conventional perspectives to RM: [[:File:Introduction to risk management.ppt|slides]] | |
− | + | * Additional material | |
− | + | ** [http://www.riskworld.com/nreports/1997/risk-rpt/pdf/epajan.pdf Framework for environmental health risk management] | |
− | + | ** [http://www.irgc.org/IMG/pdf/An_introduction_to_the_IRGC_Risk_Governance_Framework.pdf An introduction to the IRGC risk governance framework] | |
− | + | ** [http://www.irgc.org/IMG/pdf/IRGC_RiskGovernanceDeficits_PolicyBrief2010.pdf Risk governance deficits - Policy brief] | |
− | + | ** [[State of the art in benefit–risk analysis: Environmental health]] | |
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− | + | '''Introduction to using Opasnet''' | |
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− | * introduction to decision analysis: | ||
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− | * Conventional perspectives to RM: | ||
− | * | ||
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− | * [http://www.riskworld.com/nreports/1997/risk-rpt/pdf/epajan.pdf Framework for environmental health risk management] | ||
− | * [http://www.irgc.org/IMG/pdf/An_introduction_to_the_IRGC_Risk_Governance_Framework.pdf An introduction to the IRGC risk governance framework] | ||
− | * [http://www.irgc.org/IMG/pdf/IRGC_RiskGovernanceDeficits_PolicyBrief2010.pdf Risk governance deficits - Policy brief] | ||
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* Introduction to Opasnet | * Introduction to Opasnet | ||
* Demonstration of structure, content and functionalities | * Demonstration of structure, content and functionalities | ||
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** browsing and searching | ** browsing and searching | ||
** commenting and discussing | ** commenting and discussing | ||
− | + | * Additional material | |
− | * [[:Category:DARM exercise#Introduction to working in Opasnet]] | + | ** [[:Category:DARM exercise#Introduction to working in Opasnet]] |
− | * [[Opasnet]] | + | ** [[Opasnet]] |
− | * [[Help:Contents | + | ** [[Help:Contents]] |
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+ | '''Introduction to probability theory''': [[:File:Introduction to probability theory.ppt|Slides]] | ||
*[[Subjective probability]] | *[[Subjective probability]] | ||
*Practical exercise | *Practical exercise | ||
− | *Bayesian rule | + | *Bayesian rule |
*Importance of exhaustiveness (coverage) | *Importance of exhaustiveness (coverage) | ||
+ | * Additional material: [http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=3367&docver=1&fileid=3367&filever=1&filename=Lindley_Philosophy_of_Statistics_JRSS_200.pdf Dennis Lindley: Philosophy of statistics] [[:heande:File:Lindley Philosophy of Statistics JRSS 200.pdf|Lindley, a backup file]] | ||
+ | * Bayes' rule. Updating probability. Examples: red balls, narcolepsy test. | ||
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− | + | '''Decision analysis'''. [[:File:Introduction to decision analysis.ppt|slides]] | |
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− | '''Decision analysis | ||
*Measures of outcome: [[:en:Utility|Utility]], [[DALY]], [[QALY]], [[:en:Willingness to pay|WTP]] | *Measures of outcome: [[:en:Utility|Utility]], [[DALY]], [[QALY]], [[:en:Willingness to pay|WTP]] | ||
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*Concepts: decisions, objectives, optimization, uncertainty, decision trees | *Concepts: decisions, objectives, optimization, uncertainty, decision trees | ||
*Influence diagrams, Bayesian belief nets. | *Influence diagrams, Bayesian belief nets. | ||
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*Purpose of assessment: Why it is done | *Purpose of assessment: Why it is done | ||
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− | + | '''Modeling and Monte Carlo simulation''': [[:File:ModelingAndMonteCarlo.ppt|slides]] | |
− | + | *Computer modeling | |
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− | *Computer modeling | ||
**Why? | **Why? | ||
*Approximation | *Approximation | ||
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*Monte Carlo simulation | *Monte Carlo simulation | ||
**When and why to use? | **When and why to use? | ||
− | *Common uncertainty distributions | + | *Common uncertainty distributions |
**Normal distribution is not the only option | **Normal distribution is not the only option | ||
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− | + | '''Calculation exercise''': [[:File:Calculation exercise Modeling.ppt|slides]] | |
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*Case: Mortality due to PM2.5 in Kuopio | *Case: Mortality due to PM2.5 in Kuopio | ||
+ | * Additional material [http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/images/7/7b/Pope_2002.pdf Pope et al. 2002] | ||
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+ | '''Probabilistic models''' [[:File:Probabilistic models.ppt|slides]] | ||
+ | * [[:en:Gibbs sampling|Gibbs sampling]] [[:en:Bayesian network|Bayesian network]] [[:en:Hierarchical Bayes model|Hierarchical Bayes model]] | ||
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− | + | '''Calculation exercise of calibration and PM risks with Opasnet R''' | |
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* [[Open assessment quiz]], [[:heande:Calibration of a group]] | * [[Open assessment quiz]], [[:heande:Calibration of a group]] | ||
* [[:heande:Health impacts of PM in Kuopio|Health impacts of PM in Kuopio]] | * [[:heande:Health impacts of PM in Kuopio|Health impacts of PM in Kuopio]] | ||
− | * '''[[Expert elicitation|Expert judgement]]''' | + | * '''[[Expert elicitation|Expert judgement]]''' [[:File:Expert judgement.ppt|slides]] |
− | + | * Additional material: [[:heande:File:Tuomisto RESS3866 2007 PMExpertElicitation.pdf|Tuomisto et al: PM expert elicitation]] | |
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− | + | '''Overall view of different models''' [[:File:Overview of models.ppt|slides]] | |
− | + | *Why do we do modelling? | |
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− | Why do we do modelling? | ||
* [[Producing result from rationale]]. | * [[Producing result from rationale]]. | ||
**Deterministic, heuristic, and probabilistic estimates. | **Deterministic, heuristic, and probabilistic estimates. | ||
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**Other relations (neural networks). | **Other relations (neural networks). | ||
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− | + | '''Decision making under uncertainty''' | |
− | + | * Why decision analysis?: [[:File:Why to learn decision analysis.ppt|Slides]] | |
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− | * Why decision analysis?: | ||
* Sensitivity analysis: [[:File:Sensitivity_analysis_02.ppt|Slides]] | * Sensitivity analysis: [[:File:Sensitivity_analysis_02.ppt|Slides]] | ||
− | * Value of information: | + | * Value of information: [[:File:Tainio_ValueOfInformation_02.ppt|Slides]] |
− | + | * Additional material: | |
− | *[http://www.ce.ncsu.edu/risk/Phase3Final.pdf Further information about sensitivity analysis (Frey et al. 2004)] | + | **[http://www.ce.ncsu.edu/risk/Phase3Final.pdf Further information about sensitivity analysis (Frey et al. 2004)] |
− | * [[Value of information]] | + | ** [[Value of information]], [[Value of information analysis]] |
− | + | * Assessment performance: [[:File: Assessment performance.ppt|Slides]] | |
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− | * Assessment performance: | ||
** quality assurance/quality control | ** quality assurance/quality control | ||
** uncertainty | ** uncertainty | ||
** model performance | ** model performance | ||
** information in use | ** information in use | ||
− | ** → [[ | + | ** → [[Properties of good assessment]] |
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− | + | '''Calculation exercise. ''' | |
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*[http://heande.opasnet.org/wiki/Health_impacts_of_PM_in_Kuopio Link to exercise page] | *[http://heande.opasnet.org/wiki/Health_impacts_of_PM_in_Kuopio Link to exercise page] | ||
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− | + | '''Risk management''': State-of-the-art? | |
− | + | * lecture: [[:File:Risk management - state of the art.ppt|slides]] | |
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− | * lecture: [[:File:Risk management - state of the art.ppt|slides] | ||
** perspectives to assessment and management | ** perspectives to assessment and management | ||
** tendencies in EHA and EHRM | ** tendencies in EHA and EHRM | ||
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** assessment and management in the swine flu case | ** assessment and management in the swine flu case | ||
** questions, actors, roles in swine flu case RM? | ** questions, actors, roles in swine flu case RM? | ||
− | + | * Additional material: | |
− | * [[:heande:State of the art of environmental health assessment]] | + | ** [[:heande:State of the art of environmental health assessment]] |
− | * [http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=3389&docver=1&fileid=3389&filever=1&filename=Decision%20making%20for%20the%20environment.pdf Decision Making for the Environment] | + | ** [http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=3389&docver=1&fileid=3389&filever=1&filename=Decision%20making%20for%20the%20environment.pdf Decision Making for the Environment] |
− | * [http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=3390&docver=1&fileid=3390&filever=1&filename=Risk%20assessment%20in%20the%20Federal%20Government%20Managing%20the%20Process.pdf Risk Assessment in the Federal Government] | + | ** [http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=3390&docver=1&fileid=3390&filever=1&filename=Risk%20assessment%20in%20the%20Federal%20Government%20Managing%20the%20Process.pdf Risk Assessment in the Federal Government] |
− | * [http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=3391&docver=1&fileid=3391&filever=1&filename=Science%20and%20Decisions.pdf Science and Decisions] | + | ** [http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=3391&docver=1&fileid=3391&filever=1&filename=Science%20and%20Decisions.pdf Science and Decisions] |
− | * [http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=3392&docver=1&fileid=3392&filever=1&filename=Science%20and%20Judgment%20in%20Risk%20Assessment.pdf Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment] | + | ** [http://heande.opasnet.org/heande/extensions/mfiles/mf_getfile.php?anon=true&docid=3392&docver=1&fileid=3392&filever=1&filename=Science%20and%20Judgment%20in%20Risk%20Assessment.pdf Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment] |
− | * [http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=5138#toc Understanding Risk (free online version)] | + | ** [http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=5138#toc Understanding Risk (free online version)] |
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− | + | '''Risk management''': a social learning perspective | |
− | + | * lecture: [[:File:Risk management - a social learning perspective.ppt|slides]] | |
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− | * lecture: [[:File:Risk management - a social learning perspective.ppt|slides] | ||
** participation in assessment and management | ** participation in assessment and management | ||
** dimensions of openness | ** dimensions of openness | ||
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** role of public in swine flu case RM? | ** role of public in swine flu case RM? | ||
** dimensions of openness -analysis of the narcolepsy study RM | ** dimensions of openness -analysis of the narcolepsy study RM | ||
− | + | * Additional material: [[:heande:Open participation in environmental health assessment]] | |
− | * [[:heande:Open participation in environmental health assessment]] | + | |
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− | + | '''Risk management''': facilitation of (open) risk management | |
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* lecture: [[:File:Risk management - Facilitation of (open) risk management.ppt|slides]] | * lecture: [[:File:Risk management - Facilitation of (open) risk management.ppt|slides]] | ||
** collective knowledge creation | ** collective knowledge creation | ||
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** pragmatic knowledge services | ** pragmatic knowledge services | ||
** from an information society towards a knowledge society | ** from an information society towards a knowledge society | ||
− | * exercise | + | * exercise |
** [[Discussion]] and structured argumentation in [[Opasnet]] | ** [[Discussion]] and structured argumentation in [[Opasnet]] | ||
** argumentation analysis on some swine flu RM related texts | ** argumentation analysis on some swine flu RM related texts | ||
− | + | * Additional material: | |
− | * [[Pragmatic knowledge services]] | + | ** [[Pragmatic knowledge services]] |
− | * [[Argumentation]] | + | ** [[Argumentation]] |
− | * [[:en:Pragma-dialectics|Pragma-dialectics]] | + | ** [[:en:Pragma-dialectics|Pragma-dialectics]] |
− | * [[Wisdom of pragma-dialectic crowds|argumentation theory]]. | + | ** [[Wisdom of pragma-dialectic crowds|argumentation theory]]. |
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− | + | '''Risk management''': from needs to knowledge, knowledge to action | |
− | + | * Lecture: [[:File:Risk management - From needs to knowledge, knowledge to action.ppt|slides]] | |
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− | * Lecture: [[:File:Risk management - From needs to knowledge, knowledge to action.ppt|slides] | ||
** Round-up of what has been stated about (open) RM so far | ** Round-up of what has been stated about (open) RM so far | ||
** It's all about developing shared beliefs to guide action | ** It's all about developing shared beliefs to guide action | ||
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* Discussion | * Discussion | ||
** Based on the argumentation exercise (1.4.) | ** Based on the argumentation exercise (1.4.) | ||
− | + | * Additional material: | |
− | * [[Inference rules]] | + | ** [[Inference rules]] |
− | * [[Scientific method]] | + | ** [[Scientific method]] |
− | * [[Falsification]] | + | ** [[Falsification]] |
− | * [[:en:Justified true belief|Justified true belief]] | + | ** [[:en:Justified true belief|Justified true belief]] |
− | * [[Shared belief system]] | + | ** [[Shared belief system]] |
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− | + | '''Summary of decision analysis and risk management''': [[:File:Overview of DA, RM, OA and ORM.ppt|slides]] | |
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* Overview of DA, RM, OA & ORM | * Overview of DA, RM, OA & ORM | ||
** Who needs (uses, makes, understands) DA & RM? | ** Who needs (uses, makes, understands) DA & RM? | ||
− | + | * Examples of past, on-going, and upcoming OA/ORM cases | |
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** overview | ** overview | ||
** model | ** model | ||
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* '''Suggest more topics to be presented or discussed on the last lecture''' | * '''Suggest more topics to be presented or discussed on the last lecture''' | ||
** topics can be e.g. some unclear things to be re-reviewed or something you may feel has been missing from the course contents | ** topics can be e.g. some unclear things to be re-reviewed or something you may feel has been missing from the course contents | ||
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− | + | '''Final seminar:''' | |
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* Presentations of DA study plans by groups | * Presentations of DA study plans by groups | ||
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** 5 minutes for presentation, 10 minutes for discussion | ** 5 minutes for presentation, 10 minutes for discussion | ||
* Presentations of the RM exercises: | * Presentations of the RM exercises: | ||
** 5 minutes for presentation, 10 minutes for discussion | ** 5 minutes for presentation, 10 minutes for discussion | ||
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== Help and guidance == | == Help and guidance == |
Revision as of 15:52, 16 December 2012
- This page is about a course Decision analysis and risk management organised in 2013. For a course organised in 2011, see Decision analysis and risk management.
LIVE FEED FROM LECTURES in 2011
This page is a lecture.
The page identifier is Op_en5860 |
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Moderator:Jouni (see all) |
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Decision analysis and risk management (DARM) is a course taught in the | University of Eastern Finland (UEF) for Master's (MSc) Degree Programme in General Toxicology and Environmental Health Risk Assessment ToxEn.
NOTE! On this page, there was a list of related further education courses in Kuopio (in Finnish).
Contents
Aims of the course
- To give a good overview of modern assessment methods by;
- utilizing modern web-workspaces for learning, while;
- avoiding overlaps with other courses in the ToxEn MSc program,
In the course:
The student will learn about the fundamentals of decision analysis, the connections between societal decision-making and risk assessment, and the role of risk management in a broader societal context. The student will learn to apply the scientific method and falsification in the context of risk assessment, and know how to build an assessment based on the requirements of risk management.
Course details
- Name: Decision analysis and risk management
- Abbreviation: DARM
- ECTS-credits: 6
- Home page of the course: http://en.opasnet.org/w/Darm
- Degree Programme: ToxEn, Environment health risk assessment
- Teaching Language: English, with Finnish accent
- Offered for Students in Other Universities (JOO-opintoja): Yes
Contacts
- Organising Departments: Department of environmental science (in collaboration with the National Institute for Health and Welfare, THL)
- Course Director: Jukka Juutilainen / Jonne Naarala
- Teachers: Jouni Tuomisto, Mikko Pohjola, Marko Tainio
- Contact Persons email: jouni.tuomisto(at)thl.fi
- Registration for the Course: Wossikka
Teaching / Learning Methods
- Lectures and discussions 60 h
- Calculation exercises 9 h
- Independent assessment study
- Decision analysis study (group work) 50 h
- Risk management study (individual work) 40 h
- Web-Based Learning 30 %
Lectures
See the Content and schedule table for timing, locations, topics and links to materials. One lecture and classroom exercise session is approximately three hours.
Study materials include e.g. PowerPoint files, scanned articles or book chapters, web-sites and web-documents. Due to copy-right reasons, some of the materials are distributed through a password protected HEANDE-page. Passwords to HEANDE will be distributed during the lectures. In the end of the page there are some more links for further information.
Case study exercise
For the case study description and instructions, see the case study exercise page
Note! Self-organised group work requires on-line computers.
Evaluation
Whole course (6 ECTS)
The course grade consists of:
- Completion of classroom exercises (1/3)
- Case study exercise (2/3)
- Active participation in lectures and exercises is taken into account while deciding the overall course grades (e.g. rounding up)
Classroom exercise scoring
- Exercise 1: max. score 5 points
- Exercise 2: no scoring, completion yes/no
- Exercise 3: max. score 5 points
- Exercise 4: max. score 5 points
Total max. score from classroom exercises is 15 points. In addition students earn pluses from extraordinary performance and active participation. Missing exercises 1, 3 or 4 count as 0 points. Missing exercises 2 count as minus (thus counterbalancing pluses).
Case study exercise scoring
- Exercise part 1, DA study plan (group work): max. score 20 points
- Exercise part 2, RM analysis: max. score 10 points
In DA study plan exercise, all group members get the same score. The principles for evaluating the case study exercises are presented on the case study exercise page. With active commenting and discussion in Opasnet both within the group and in between groups and individuals groups and individuals can earn pluses.
Course grading
The below table presents the tentative guidelines for converting exercise scores into the course grade.
Course grade | Total score |
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0 | <20 |
1 | 21-25 |
2 | 26-30 |
3 | 31-35 |
4 | 36-40 |
5 | 41-45 |
The pluses (and minuses) can influence the overall grade in cases where the total exercise scores are close to the limit values. E.g. 35 points from exercises and active participation may be interpreted as grade 4.
Please check the summary table of exercise scores on the corresponding password protected course page in Heande.
Partial accomplishments
For non-ToxEn students it is also possible to accomplish only certain parts of the course:
- Lectures and classroom exercises (3 ECTS)
- Case study exercise part 1: DA study plan (2 ECTS)
- Case study exercise part 2: RM analysis (1 ECTS)
Partial accomplishments will be graded only on a fail/pass scale according to sufficient participation and fulfillment of required exercises.
Content and schedule
Date | Time | Classroom |
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Lectures: | ||
8.1. | 9-11 | MC9 |
8.1. | 12-14 | MC9 |
10.1. | 9-11 | MC9 |
10.1. | 12-14 | MC9 |
11.1. | 8-12 | MC9 |
14.1. | 9-11 | MC9 |
14.1. | 12-14 | MC4 |
16.1. | 9-11 | MC9 |
16.1. | 12-14 | MC1 |
18.1. | 9-11 | MC1 |
18.1. | 12-14 | MC1 |
21.1. | 9-11 | MC2 |
21.1. | 12-14 | MC2 |
22.1. | 9-11 | S23 |
22.1. | 12-14 | MC1 |
23.1. | 9-11 | MC4 |
23.1. | 12-14 | MC4 |
24.1. | 9-11 | MC4 |
24.1. | 12-14 | MC4 |
25.1. | 9-11 | MC4 |
25.1. | 12-14 | MC4 |
28.1. | 9-11 | MC4 |
28.1. | 12-14 | MC4 |
29.1. | 9-11 | MC9 |
29.1. | 12-14 | MC9 |
31.1. | 9-11 | MC1 |
31.1. | 12-14 | MC1 |
1.2. | 8-12 | MC2 |
Seminars: | ||
12.2. | 9-11 | S25 |
12.2. | 12-14 | S25 |
13.2. | 9-11 | S32 |
13.2. | 12-14 | S26 |
- 60 h lectures, 8 hrs seminars.
- MC classrooms are computer classrooms.
This is the content of 2011 course, and it will be updated! Abbreviations: DA = decision analysis, RM = risk management, RA = risk assessment, RC = risk communication.
Introduction to the course
- introduction to decision analysis: slides
Introduction to risk management
- Conventional perspectives to RM: slides
- Additional material
Introduction to using Opasnet
- Introduction to Opasnet
- Demonstration of structure, content and functionalities
- Exercises
- user accounts
- DA study plan page
- RM report page
- browsing and searching
- commenting and discussing
- Additional material
Introduction to probability theory: Slides
- Subjective probability
- Practical exercise
- Bayesian rule
- Importance of exhaustiveness (coverage)
- Additional material: Dennis Lindley: Philosophy of statistics Lindley, a backup file
- Bayes' rule. Updating probability. Examples: red balls, narcolepsy test.
Decision analysis. slides
- Measures of outcome: Utility, DALY, QALY, WTP
- Concepts: decisions, objectives, optimization, uncertainty, decision trees
- Influence diagrams, Bayesian belief nets.
- Purpose of assessment: Why it is done
Modeling and Monte Carlo simulation: slides
- Computer modeling
- Why?
- Approximation
- When data is not available
- Monte Carlo simulation
- When and why to use?
- Common uncertainty distributions
- Normal distribution is not the only option
Calculation exercise: slides
- Case: Mortality due to PM2.5 in Kuopio
- Additional material Pope et al. 2002
Probabilistic models slides
Calculation exercise of calibration and PM risks with Opasnet R
- Open assessment quiz, heande:Calibration of a group
- Health impacts of PM in Kuopio
- Expert judgement slides
- Additional material: Tuomisto et al: PM expert elicitation
Overall view of different models slides
- Why do we do modelling?
- Producing result from rationale.
- Deterministic, heuristic, and probabilistic estimates.
- Functional, differential, logical, and probabilistic relations.
- Other relations (neural networks).
Decision making under uncertainty
- Why decision analysis?: Slides
- Sensitivity analysis: Slides
- Value of information: Slides
- Additional material:
- Assessment performance: Slides
- quality assurance/quality control
- uncertainty
- model performance
- information in use
- → Properties of good assessment
Calculation exercise.
Risk management: State-of-the-art?
- lecture: slides
- perspectives to assessment and management
- tendencies in EHA and EHRM
- What is managed, who is responsible, what is included?
- RM in reality vs. (institutional) RM frameworks
- contemporary challenges in assessment-management interaction
- discussion:
- assessment and management in the swine flu case
- questions, actors, roles in swine flu case RM?
- Additional material:
Risk management: a social learning perspective
- lecture: slides
- participation in assessment and management
- dimensions of openness
- assessments as collaborative information production projects
- discussion:
- role of public in swine flu case RM?
- dimensions of openness -analysis of the narcolepsy study RM
- Additional material: heande:Open participation in environmental health assessment
Risk management: facilitation of (open) risk management
- lecture: slides
- collective knowledge creation
- pragmatism, abduction and trialogical approach
- a game of questions and answers
- pragmatic knowledge services
- from an information society towards a knowledge society
- collective knowledge creation
- exercise
- Discussion and structured argumentation in Opasnet
- argumentation analysis on some swine flu RM related texts
- Additional material:
Risk management: from needs to knowledge, knowledge to action
- Lecture: slides
- Round-up of what has been stated about (open) RM so far
- It's all about developing shared beliefs to guide action
- hypothesis development and testing
- discussion
- shared belief systems
- inference rules
- evaluation of page content in Opasnet
- Discussion
- Based on the argumentation exercise (1.4.)
- Additional material:
Summary of decision analysis and risk management: slides
- Overview of DA, RM, OA & ORM
- Who needs (uses, makes, understands) DA & RM?
- Examples of past, on-going, and upcoming OA/ORM cases
- overview
- model
- results and analyses
- conclusions
- relations to groups' DA study plans
- What's new about the swine flu case?
- Q&A, discussions and group feedback on the course contents and arrangements
- Suggest more topics to be presented or discussed on the last lecture
- topics can be e.g. some unclear things to be re-reviewed or something you may feel has been missing from the course contents
Final seminar:
- Presentations of DA study plans by groups
- 5 minutes for presentation, 10 minutes for discussion
- Presentations of the RM exercises:
- 5 minutes for presentation, 10 minutes for discussion
Help and guidance
Topic | Contact |
---|---|
General arrangements | User:Jouni |
Case study exercises: content | User:Jouni |
Case study exercises: technical | |
Calculation exercises |
Help requests or other comments can be posted on the course web-page or the exercise web-page by using the comment boxes on the end of the pages (no user account / log in required) or on the discussion pages.
See also
Links to additional DA materials
Links to additional RM materials
- IRGC risk governance framework
- Risk governance deficits - Analysis and illustration
- Risk assessment and risk management in regulatory decision making
- International Risk Governance Council
- The National Academies Press (publisher of e.g. "red book", "orange book", and "silver book")
Background information about other Decision analysis and risk management study programs in Europe and in USA is provided here: Decision analysis and risk management - background information
NOTE! On this page, there was a list of related further education courses in Kuopio (in Finnish).
Keywords
Risk assessment. Decision analysis. Bayesian theory. Open assessment. Risk management. Societal decision making.
References
Related files
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