Changing ambient UVR and future skin cancer in London, Rome and Helsinki: melanoma skin cancer (CMM)
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It is widely accepted that ambient UVR is carcinogenic (Lucas et al 2006). This assessment will focus on the impact on malignant melanoma skin cancer (CMM).
The international mechanism for protecting the ozone layer is the “Montreal Protocol on Substances That Deplete the Ozone Layer” that came into force in 1989 and its subsequent amendments (UNEP 2006). The production of the most harmful ozone depleting substances (ODS) are now phased out worldwide. The atmospheric concentrations of these gases is anticipated to decline over the next decades (IPCC 2005). As a result stratospheric ozone is expected to increase and, subsequently, ambient UVR is anticipated to decrease. Hence, a decrease in melanoma skin cancer is expected, but other factors may play an important role as well such as the ageing of the population.
Contents
Question
What is imocat of the malignant melanoma skin cancer
Purpose
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Boundaries
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spatial, temporal and other dimensions.
Scenarios
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reality or not (e.g. what-if scenarios).
Intended users
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Participants
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Definition
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Decision variables
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Indicators
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Value variables
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Other variables
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Analyses
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Indices
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Result
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Results
Conclusions
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