DARM DA study exercise group 3
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Since travel restriction for an indetermined period of time is an unrealistic measure, more feasible tools to control the spreading of the swine flu to Finland are needed. We propose the use of thermal scanners combined with a PCR flu test.
Contents
Purpose
- We want to assess whether the installation of thermal scanners (and performance of PCR flu tests if fever is detected) in the Finnish airports, harbours and other border controls is a good measure to prevent the illness from spreading.
Boundaries
- Our assessment takes place in the moment when swine flu was starting to spread from Mexico, but no cases had been detected in Finland.
Scenarios
- Swine flu incubation takes 5 days on average (2 to 7 days)
- Symptoms last for XX days on average
- Fever is considered to be a temperature over 37,8 C
- Sensitvity of the PCR swine flu test: 50% (30-70%)
- Specificity of the PCR swine flu test: 99%
Intended users
- All travelers arriving in Finland
Participants
* Participants are those who may participate in the making of the assessment.
The minimum group of people for a successful assessment is always described.
If some groups must be excluded, this must be explicitly motivated.
Definition
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Decision variables
- Use of thermal scanners or not
Indicators
* Indicators: outcome variables of interest.
Value variables
* Value variables: value judgements (usually about indicators).
Other variables
* Other variables: any variables that link to the causal network and are within the boundaries of the assessment.
Analyses
* Analyses: statistical and other analyses that contain two or more variables, e.g. optimizing.
Indices
* Indices: lists of particular locations along spatial, temporal, or other dimensions.
Result
* Results of indicators and assessment-specific analyses.
Results
Conclusions
* Conclusions are based on the results, given the scope.
