Difference between revisions of "Uncertainty"
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[[Category:Glossary term]]<section begin=glossary /> | [[Category:Glossary term]]<section begin=glossary /> | ||
| − | :Uncertainty refers not only to statistical uncertainty. The typology used in INTARESE builds on an adapted version of the Walker & Harremoës framework. | + | :'''Uncertainty''' refers not only to statistical uncertainty. The typology used in INTARESE builds on an adapted version of the Walker & Harremoës framework. |
:One dimension of uncertainties is the location of uncertainties (where the uncertainty is located). For most models it is applicable to distinguish between: | :One dimension of uncertainties is the location of uncertainties (where the uncertainty is located). For most models it is applicable to distinguish between: | ||
:* context | :* context | ||
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:* scenario uncertainty (known outcomes, unknown probabilities) | :* scenario uncertainty (known outcomes, unknown probabilities) | ||
:* identified ignorance (unknown outcomes, unknown probabilities).<section end=glossary /> | :* identified ignorance (unknown outcomes, unknown probabilities).<section end=glossary /> | ||
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| + | ==References== | ||
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| + | The uncertainty report by WP 1.5. | ||
Latest revision as of 12:33, 17 November 2009
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- Uncertainty refers not only to statistical uncertainty. The typology used in INTARESE builds on an adapted version of the Walker & Harremoës framework.
- One dimension of uncertainties is the location of uncertainties (where the uncertainty is located). For most models it is applicable to distinguish between:
- context
- model structure
- inputs
- parameters
- model outcome (result)
- For the other dimension of uncertainties it is distinguished between three levels of uncertainties:
- statistical uncertainty (known outcomes, known probabilities)
- scenario uncertainty (known outcomes, unknown probabilities)
- identified ignorance (unknown outcomes, unknown probabilities).<section end=glossary />
References
The uncertainty report by WP 1.5.
