Benefit-risk assessment of Baltic herring and salmon intake

This page is a assessment. The page identifier is Op_en7748
Moderator:Arja (see all)
This page is a stub. You may improve it into a full page, and then a rating bar will appear here.
Upload data Show results

Scope

This assessment is part of the WP5 work in Goherr project. Purpose is to evaluate health benefits and risks caused of eating Baltic herring and salmon in four Baltic sea countries (Denmark, Estonia, Finland and Sweden). This assessment is currently on-going.

Question

What are the current population level health benefits and risks of eating Baltic herring and salmon in Finland, Estonia, Denmark and Sweden? How would the health effects change in the future, if consumption of Baltic herring and salmon changes due to different management of Baltic sea fish stocks?

Intended use and users

Results of this assessment are used to inform policy makers about the health impacts of fish. Further, this assessment will be combined with the results of the other Goherr WPs to produce estimates of future health impacts of Baltic fish related to different policy options. Especially, results of this assessment will be used as input in the decision support model built in Goherr WP6.

Participants

• National istitute for Health and welfare (THL)
• Goherr project group

Boundaries

• Four baltic sea countries (Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Sweden)
• Current situation (fish use year 2016, pollutant levels in fish year 2010?)
• Estimation for future (year 2020?)

Decisions and scenarios

• Increased use of Baltic herring and salmon as human food by following actions:
  • Promotion
  • guidance from health authorities
  • Better availability

Timing

• Model development during 2016 and 2017
• First set of results in March 2017, draft publication in March 2018

Answer

This section will be updated as soon as preliminary results are available

Rationale

Error creating thumbnail: Unable to save thumbnail to destination

Schematic picture of the health benefit-risk model for Baltic herring and salmon intake.

Dependencies

• Toxic equivalency factor (TEF)
• Consumption of fish
• Pollutant and fatty acid levels
  • Persistent organic pollutant levels in Baltic herring
  • Persistent organic pollutant levels in Baltic salmon
  • Nutrient levels in fish
• Risk functions of health effects
  • Exposure-response functions of Dioxins
  • Exposure-response functions of fatty acids
  • Exposure-response functions of methylmercury
• Background health data (incidences and DALY)
  • Burden of disease as DALY in Finland
  • Disease risk: incidences in Finland and DALY in Europe
• Disability weights of health effects
• Length of disease

Indices

• Country (Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Sweden)
• Year (current, future)
• Sex
• Age
• Fish species (Baltic herring, Baltic salmon)
• Health end-point
• Compound (pollutant, fatty acid)