Difference between revisions of "Fifteen-unit rule for rounding numerical results"

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==Definition==
 
==Definition==
  
Usually, from scientific studies (whether based on physical measurements or mathematical modelling), numerical results are obtained that consist of a an average value or a best estimate (e.g. 4.5678 meters) and a measure of the probable uncertainty (e.g. ± 0.2345 meters). However, either or both of these figures may be too precise (i.e. contain more digits than is justifiable or meaningful).  
+
Usually, from scientific studies (whether based on physical measurements or mathematical modelling), numerical results are obtained that consist of an average value or a best estimate (e.g. 4.5678 meters) and a measure of the probable uncertainty (e.g. ±0.2345 meters). However, as raw figures, either or both of these may be too precise (i.e. contain more digits than is justifiable or meaningful).  
  
A systematic method for rounding those results to a justifiable and meaningful precision is needed, that will not convey a misconception of excessively (in)accurate results.
+
Thus, before publishing, a systematic method for rounding those results to a justifiable and meaningful precision is needed, in order to avoid a misconception of excessively (in)accurate results.
  
 
==Result==
 
==Result==
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Please see the following examples:
 
Please see the following examples:
  
* '''(1062 ± 41) meters''' is '''incorrect''', because the LSD of the average value (2) is associated with an uncertainty of 41 units (and the uncertainty is expressed using a precision of 41 units)
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* <font color=red>(1062 ± 41) meters</font> is '''incorrect''', because the LSD of the average value (2) is associated with an uncertainty of 41 units (and the uncertainty is expressed using a precision of 41 units)
* '''(1060 ± 50) meters''' is '''correct''', because the LSD of the average value (6) is now associated with an uncertainty of 5 units only (and the uncertainty is expressed using a precision of 5 units)
+
* <font color=green>(1060 ± 50) meters</font> is '''correct''', because the LSD of the average value (6) is now associated with an uncertainty of 5 units only (and the uncertainty is expressed using a precision of 5 units)
 
:: - Note that the original uncertainty (41) has been rounded upwards (to 50).
 
:: - Note that the original uncertainty (41) has been rounded upwards (to 50).
  
* '''(0.8765 ± 0.0132) kg''' is '''incorrect''', because the LSD of the average value (5) is associated with an uncertainty of 132 units (and the uncertainty is expressed using a precision of 132 units)
+
* <font color=red>(0.8765 ± 0.0132) kg</font> is '''incorrect''', because the LSD of the average value (5) is associated with an uncertainty of 132 units (and the uncertainty is expressed using a precision of 132 units)
* '''(0.876 ± 0.014) kg''' is '''correct''', because the LSD of the average value (6) is now associated with an uncertainty of 14 units only (and the uncertainty is expressed using a precision of 14 units)
+
* <font color=green>(0.876 ± 0.014) kg</font> is '''correct''', because the LSD of the average value (6) is now associated with an uncertainty of 14 units only (and the uncertainty is expressed using a precision of 14 units)
 
:: - Note that the original uncertainty (0.0132) has been rounded upwards (to 0.014).
 
:: - Note that the original uncertainty (0.0132) has been rounded upwards (to 0.014).

Revision as of 15:22, 8 August 2011

Scope

When presenting the final results of a study, what is the proper way of rounding numerical results of the form "average ± probable uncertainty"?

Definition

Usually, from scientific studies (whether based on physical measurements or mathematical modelling), numerical results are obtained that consist of an average value or a best estimate (e.g. 4.5678 meters) and a measure of the probable uncertainty (e.g. ±0.2345 meters). However, as raw figures, either or both of these may be too precise (i.e. contain more digits than is justifiable or meaningful).

Thus, before publishing, a systematic method for rounding those results to a justifiable and meaningful precision is needed, in order to avoid a misconception of excessively (in)accurate results.

Result

The 15-unit rule says that:

  • in the average value, the uncertainty of the least significant digit (LSD) must not exceed 15 units,
  • the probable uncertainty must not exceed 15 units (where one unit pertains to the LSD of the average value)
  • the probable uncertainty is always rounded upwards.

Please see the following examples:

  • (1062 ± 41) meters is incorrect, because the LSD of the average value (2) is associated with an uncertainty of 41 units (and the uncertainty is expressed using a precision of 41 units)
  • (1060 ± 50) meters is correct, because the LSD of the average value (6) is now associated with an uncertainty of 5 units only (and the uncertainty is expressed using a precision of 5 units)
- Note that the original uncertainty (41) has been rounded upwards (to 50).
  • (0.8765 ± 0.0132) kg is incorrect, because the LSD of the average value (5) is associated with an uncertainty of 132 units (and the uncertainty is expressed using a precision of 132 units)
  • (0.876 ± 0.014) kg is correct, because the LSD of the average value (6) is now associated with an uncertainty of 14 units only (and the uncertainty is expressed using a precision of 14 units)
- Note that the original uncertainty (0.0132) has been rounded upwards (to 0.014).